AFC Malmö 1-1 Skövde AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-6.4pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.7pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Skövde AIK EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
2.17/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.98
+0% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Malmö
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Skövde AIK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
10.05.2025 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 2-2 HT 1-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Malmö
1-1
AWAY Skövde AIK
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 12
12 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AFC Malmö vs Skövde AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Malmö and Skövde AIK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AFC Malmö at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, AFC Malmö had 67% of the ball to Skövde AIK's 33%, shots finished 23-12.

What was the final score of AFC Malmö vs Skövde AIK?

AFC Malmö 1-1 Skövde AIK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Malmö vs Skövde AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split AFC Malmö 58%, draw 22%, Skövde AIK 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Malmö), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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