Freiburg II 3-3 Schott Mainz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.49
No
36%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
64%
BTTS Yes
63%
+0.8pp
36%
BTTS No
37%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Schott Mainz EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
2.23/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.71
+13% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Schott Mainz
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
08.05.2021 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz 0-2 HT 0-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
23.02.2021 Freiburg II Freiburg II 4-1 HT 3-0 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs Schott Mainz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg II and Schott Mainz shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Freiburg II at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Freiburg II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Freiburg II and 0.50 for Schott Mainz.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs Schott Mainz?

Freiburg II 3-3 Schott Mainz in the Germany - Regional League on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs Schott Mainz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 52%, draw 25%, Schott Mainz 23%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Freiburg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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