Aurora 1-0 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 7 Sep 2025

Aurora
1-0 HT 1-0
Malacateco
📅07/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2025/2026

Aurora vs Malacateco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.68
Over 2.5
52%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aurora v Malacateco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 29%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.00/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.24
-21% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
338 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Aurora 1-0 Malacateco — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
1-0
AWAY Malacateco
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora nicked a narrow win over Malacateco 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Aurora had 55% of the ball to Malacateco's 45%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Malacateco?

Aurora 1-0 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aurora 49%, draw 25%, Malacateco 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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