ESMTK 2-1 Martfüi LSE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.28
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
9%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
2%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
2%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
74%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.3pp
9%
Away Win
10%
-0.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ESMTK EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Martfüi LSE EU Bookmakers 12%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +70% / +70%
0.34/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-87% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% /
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH ESMTK vs Martfüi LSE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ESMTK nicked a narrow win over Martfüi LSE 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ESMTK as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of ESMTK vs Martfüi LSE?

ESMTK 2-1 Martfüi LSE in the Hungary - NB III on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ESMTK vs Martfüi LSE?

Before kick-off our model rated a ESMTK win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split ESMTK 67%, draw 24%, Martfüi LSE 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ESMTK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ESMTK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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