Niger Tornadoes 1-0 Bayelsa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
36%
3.11
Away
20%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
76%
Over 2.5
24%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
No
64%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.6pp
36%
Draw
28%
+7.6pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 27%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.11/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-14% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -41%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
288 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niger Tornadoes
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bayelsa United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
25 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2025 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 1-1 HT 1-0 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ
27.11.2024 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United 4-1 HT 2-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Niger Tornadoes
1-0
AWAY Bayelsa United
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Niger Tornadoes vs Bayelsa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niger Tornadoes nicked a narrow win over Bayelsa United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Niger Tornadoes as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (76%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Niger Tornadoes had 54% of the ball to Bayelsa United's 46%, shots finished 17-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bayelsa United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Niger Tornadoes and 2.50 for Bayelsa United.

What was the final score of Niger Tornadoes vs Bayelsa United?

Niger Tornadoes 1-0 Bayelsa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niger Tornadoes vs Bayelsa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niger Tornadoes win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Niger Tornadoes 44%, draw 36%, Bayelsa United 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Niger Tornadoes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Niger Tornadoes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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