Warta Poznan 1-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.7
No
39%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.33
6+ Goals
13%
12.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.33 — our 26% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
55%
+6.1pp
39%
BTTS No
45%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +50%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warta Poznan
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
10.07.2020 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0-2 HT 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL1
19.10.2019 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 2-3 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
1-0
AWAY Zaglebie Sosnowiec
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warta Poznan squeezed past Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Warta Poznan as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 40% of the ball to Zaglebie Sosnowiec's 60%, shots finished 14-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Warta Poznan and 1.50 for Zaglebie Sosnowiec.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

Warta Poznan 1-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec in the Poland - 2nd Division on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warta Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 41%, draw 28%, Zaglebie Sosnowiec 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Warta Poznan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Warta Poznan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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