Bradford City 3-1 Newport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 7 Oct 2024

Bradford City
3-1 HT 1-0
Newport County
📅07/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Bradford City vs Newport County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
21%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.86 — our 27% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.78
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.2
X/1
12%
3.76
X/2
6%
12.9
X/X
10%
6.85
2/1
8%
20.3
2/2
10%
9.39
2/X
7%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.0pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.9pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bradford City v Newport County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport County EU Bookmakers 19%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.82/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.55
-29% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 72%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
25.4 Crosses 12.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Bradford City vs Newport County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Newport County
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.94 xG 0.81
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
310 Passes 269
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Newport County Newport County 1-4 HT 1-3 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
11.03.2023 Newport County Newport County 1-1 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
13.08.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 2-0 HT 1-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
26.03.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
09.10.2021 Newport County Newport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
09.03.2021 Newport County Newport County 2-1 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2

Bradford City 3-1 Newport County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
3-1
AWAY Newport County
0.57 xG 0.86
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
291 Passes 255
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 9
30 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Newport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City saw off Newport County 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bradford City as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bradford City had 51% of the ball to Newport County's 49%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.57 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bradford City and 0.67 for Newport County.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Newport County?

Bradford City 3-1 Newport County in the England - 2nd Division on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Newport County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 55%, draw 23%, Newport County 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bradford City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bradford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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