Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-0 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 7 Oct 2024

📅07/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.18
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
32%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
80%
-20.7pp
23%
Draw
14%
+8.8pp
18%
Away Win
6%
+11.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +99%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
Crosses 5.5
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1-0
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
1.41 xG 0.78
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
467 Passes 236
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 12
32 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen (K) edged past Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayer Leverkusen (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen (K) had 61% of the ball to Carl Zeiss Jena (K)'s 39%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.41 to 0.78.

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)?

Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-0 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen (K) 59%, draw 23%, Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →