Assiden IF 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 7 Oct 2024

📅07/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.68
Over 2.5
58%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.29
No
44%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
9.3
2-3 Goals
39%
2.47
4-5 Goals
21%
2.34
6+ Goals
24%
3.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.5pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
24%
+17.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
76%
-18.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
73%
-16.9pp
44%
BTTS No
27%
+16.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Assiden IF EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 42%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.50/2.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/2.27
-26% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Assiden IF
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
07.06.2024 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 3-1 HT 1-1 Assiden IF Assiden IF NOR4
18.10.2021 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 4-1 HT 1-1 Assiden IF Assiden IF NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Assiden IF
2-1
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Assiden IF vs Sarpsborg 08 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Assiden IF nicked a narrow win over Sarpsborg 08 II 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Assiden IF as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Assiden IF had 45% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08 II's 55%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Assiden IF and 3.50 for Sarpsborg 08 II.

What was the final score of Assiden IF vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Assiden IF 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Assiden IF vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Assiden IF win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Assiden IF 41%, draw 27%, Sarpsborg 08 II 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Assiden IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Assiden IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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