Caracas FC 2-1 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 7 Oct 2024

📅07/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.7pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +22%
1.27/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.36
-2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
19.2 Crosses 15.0
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 1.21
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
266 Passes 213
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
20.08.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-2 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
20.03.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
04.09.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
20.03.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 3-0 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
26.09.2021 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-3 HT 1-2 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
2-1
AWAY Metropolitanos
2.98 xG 1.05
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
202 Passes 209
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 43
13 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC squeezed past Metropolitanos 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Caracas FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caracas FC had 47% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 53%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.98 to 1.05 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Caracas FC's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Caracas FC and 1.50 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos?

Caracas FC 2-1 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 40%, draw 29%, Metropolitanos 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caracas FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →