Runcorn L 1-1 Morpeth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 7 Oct 2025

Runcorn L
1-1 HT 1-0
Morpeth Town
📅07/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Runcorn L vs Morpeth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.47
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
37%
+8.8pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.3pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Runcorn L v Morpeth Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Runcorn L EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -45%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
244 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Runcorn L vs Morpeth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Runcorn L and Morpeth Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Runcorn L at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Runcorn L vs Morpeth Town?

Runcorn L 1-1 Morpeth Town in the England - FA Cup on 07/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Runcorn L vs Morpeth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Runcorn L win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Runcorn L 46%, draw 21%, Morpeth Town 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Runcorn L), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Runcorn L) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNFAT More England - FA Cup
7 Oct 2025
21:45 Prescot Cables vs Lancaster City Analysis →
21:45 Silsden vs Stocksbridge Park Analysis →
21:45 Workington vs United of Manchester Analysis →