Nassaji Mazandaran 3-0 Besat Kermanshah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 7 Oct 2025

Nassaji Mazandaran
3-0 HT 0-0
Besat Kermanshah
📅07/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iran - Azadegan League – 2025/2026

Nassaji Mazandaran vs Besat Kermanshah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.8
Draw
44%
3.18
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.45
Over 2.5
28%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
48%
1.99
2-3 Goals
32%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
5.85
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.99 — our 48% vs market 41.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
15%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
52%
-13.7pp
44%
Draw
28%
+15.4pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-1.7pp
72%
Under 2.5
65%
+7.1pp
28%
Over 2.5
35%
-7.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-0.6pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nassaji Mazandaran v Besat Kermanshah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nassaji Mazandaran EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Besat Kermanshah EU Bookmakers 23%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.79
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
257 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Nassaji Mazandaran vs Besat Kermanshah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nassaji Mazandaran cruised past Besat Kermanshah 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (72%) missed.

What was the final score of Nassaji Mazandaran vs Besat Kermanshah?

Nassaji Mazandaran 3-0 Besat Kermanshah in the Iran - Azadegan League on 07/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Besat Kermanshah?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nassaji Mazandaran 38%, draw 44%, Besat Kermanshah 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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