Genoa vs Como Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genoa v Como — Team-Based Signals
Genoa vs Como Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Genoa
İTB
1-1
HT 1-0
Como
İTB
0-1
HT 0-0
Como
İTB
2-1
HT 1-1
Genoa
İTB
2-1
HT 1-1
Como
İTB
Genoa 1-1 Como — Actual Match Statistics
Genoa and Como shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Genoa had 42% of the ball to Como's 58%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.92 to 1.39.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Como led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Genoa and 1.40 for Como.
What was the final score of Genoa vs Como?
Genoa 1-1 Como in the Italy - Serie A on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genoa vs Como?
Before kick-off our model rated an Como win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Genoa 35%, draw 29%, Como 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Como), BTTS No went the other way.