Baglan Dragons 2-1 Ynyshir Albions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.5pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.8pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ynyshir Albions EU Bookmakers 25%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.69/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.30
+30% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baglan Dragons nicked a narrow win over Ynyshir Albions 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Baglan Dragons as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions?

Baglan Dragons 2-1 Ynyshir Albions in the Wales - FAW Championship on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baglan Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 53%, draw 19%, Ynyshir Albions 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baglan Dragons), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baglan Dragons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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