Fajr Sepasi 1-1 Mes Rafsanjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
68%
1.36
Over
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
40%
1.81
2-3
39%
1.84
4-5
12%
7.11
6+
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.5pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.8pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fajr Sepasi The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan The Market 34%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
0.33/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.77
-70% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fajr Sepasi
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.05.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 2-1 HT 1-1 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRAN
15.12.2021 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
POST-MATCH Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Rafsanjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fajr Sepasi and Mes Rafsanjan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mes Rafsanjan led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fajr Sepasi and 1.00 for Mes Rafsanjan.

What was the final score of Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Fajr Sepasi 1-1 Mes Rafsanjan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fajr Sepasi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fajr Sepasi 38%, draw 33%, Mes Rafsanjan 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fajr Sepasi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fajr Sepasi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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