Sarıyer vs Van Spor FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sarıyer v Van Spor FK — Team-Based Signals
Sarıyer vs Van Spor FK Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-2
Van Spor FK
S2-K
1-1
HT 0-1
Sarıyer
S2-K
1-0
HT 0-0
Sarıyer
S2-K
Sarıyer 2-1 Van Spor FK — Actual Match Statistics
Sarıyer edged past Van Spor FK 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Van Spor FK at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sarıyer had 39% of the ball to Van Spor FK's 61%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.45 to 1.19 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sarıyer's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Van Spor FK led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sarıyer and 1.67 for Van Spor FK.
What was the final score of Sarıyer vs Van Spor FK?
Sarıyer 2-1 Van Spor FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sarıyer vs Van Spor FK?
Before kick-off our model rated an Van Spor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sarıyer 31%, draw 28%, Van Spor FK 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.