EM Mahdia 1-0 AS Agareb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 7 Nov 2025

EM Mahdia
1-0 HT 1-0
AS Agareb
📅07/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2025/2026

EM Mahdia vs AS Agareb Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.13
No
48%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
-0.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
19%
Away Win
22%
-3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
43%
+9.6pp
48%
BTTS No
57%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

EM Mahdia v AS Agareb — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Agareb EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.95/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.85
-30% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -31%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH EM Mahdia vs AS Agareb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EM Mahdia squeezed past AS Agareb 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had EM Mahdia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

What was the final score of EM Mahdia vs AS Agareb?

EM Mahdia 1-0 AS Agareb in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EM Mahdia vs AS Agareb?

Before kick-off our model rated a EM Mahdia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split EM Mahdia 50%, draw 31%, AS Agareb 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EM Mahdia), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (EM Mahdia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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