Calvary 2-4 Gaddafi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 7 Nov 2025

Calvary
2-4 HT 0-1
Gaddafi
📅07/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

Calvary vs Gaddafi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
31%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.4pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.8pp
30%
Away Win
40%
-9.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Calvary v Gaddafi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Calvary EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaddafi EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -77%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
249 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Calvary vs Gaddafi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaddafi beat Calvary 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 34% / 30%) promised a tight game; Gaddafi found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Calvary vs Gaddafi?

Calvary 2-4 Gaddafi in the Uganda - Premier League on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Calvary vs Gaddafi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Calvary win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Calvary 35%, draw 34%, Gaddafi 30%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Calvary) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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