Sampdoria (K) 1-3 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 7 Dec 2024

Sampdoria (K)
1-3 HT 1-0
Fiorentina (K)
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Italya - Women's Serie A – 2025/2026

Sampdoria (K) vs Fiorentina (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
7.18
Draw
30%
4.62
Away
57%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
11%
+2.6pp
30%
Draw
18%
+11.2pp
57%
Away Win
71%
-13.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.5pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sampdoria (K) v Fiorentina (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.57/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.08
-40% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +48%
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
204 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 496 · 86%
13.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
14.0 Crosses 21.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Sampdoria (K) vs Fiorentina (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.83 xG 1.56
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
208 Passes 436
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.09.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
11.02.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
12.11.2023 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA

Sampdoria (K) 1-3 Fiorentina (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria (K)
1-3
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
1.58 xG 1.21
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 11
144 Passes 440
59% Pass Accuracy 82%
6 Box Touches 41
4 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sampdoria (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) saw off Sampdoria (K) 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fiorentina (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sampdoria (K) had 32% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 68%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 1.58 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fiorentina (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sampdoria (K) and 2.33 for Fiorentina (K).

What was the final score of Sampdoria (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Sampdoria (K) 1-3 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria (K) 14%, draw 30%, Fiorentina (K) 57%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✗ BTTS No
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