Turbine Potsdam (K) 0-1 Köln (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.09
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
52%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
30%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+2.1pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.6pp
52%
Away Win
61%
-9.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turbine Potsdam (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.71/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.12
-100% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -17%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 81%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
15.0 Crosses 18.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Turbine Potsdam (K)
0-1
AWAY Köln (K)
0.23 xG 2.71
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 24
0 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 11
156 Passes 321
61% Pass Accuracy 73%
6 Box Touches 35
5 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Turbine Potsdam (K) vs Köln (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln (K) edged past Turbine Potsdam (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Köln (K) as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Turbine Potsdam (K) had 36% of the ball to Köln (K)'s 64%, shots finished 4-24, expected goals 0.23 to 2.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Köln (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Turbine Potsdam (K) vs Köln (K)?

Turbine Potsdam (K) 0-1 Köln (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turbine Potsdam (K) vs Köln (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Köln (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Turbine Potsdam (K) 19%, draw 30%, Köln (K) 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln (K)), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Köln (K)) ✓ Under 2.5
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