La Louvière 2-1 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.47
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.58
2-3 Goals
48%
1.89
4-5 Goals
21%
2.79
6+ Goals
9%
7.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.1pp
29%
Draw
20%
+8.2pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Louvière EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 20%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.79/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.72
+28% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
24.6 Crosses 11.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Louvière
2-1
AWAY KRC Genk II
2.09 xG 1.19
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
169 Passes 398
65% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH La Louvière vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Louvière edged past KRC Genk II 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had La Louvière as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, La Louvière had 35% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 65%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 2.09 to 1.19.

What was the final score of La Louvière vs KRC Genk II?

La Louvière 2-1 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Louvière vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Louvière win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split La Louvière 51%, draw 29%, KRC Genk II 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Louvière), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (La Louvière) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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