USM Oujda 1-0 Yacoub El Mansour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.1pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Oujda EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Yacoub El Mansour EU Bookmakers 42%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+30% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH USM Oujda vs Yacoub El Mansour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Oujda squeezed past Yacoub El Mansour 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; USM Oujda found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of USM Oujda vs Yacoub El Mansour?

USM Oujda 1-0 Yacoub El Mansour in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Oujda vs Yacoub El Mansour?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Oujda win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split USM Oujda 35%, draw 31%, Yacoub El Mansour 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Oujda), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Oujda) ✓ Under 2.5
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