Marumo Gallants 3-1 Magesi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.9
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.1pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Magesi EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.73/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/1.12
-9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
21.7 Crosses 24.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marumo Gallants
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Magesi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-2 HT 0-1 Magesi Magesi GAF1
31.10.2023 Magesi Magesi 2-0 HT 1-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAF1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marumo Gallants
3-1
AWAY Magesi
1.15 xG 0.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
334 Passes 236
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 7
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marumo Gallants vs Magesi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marumo Gallants got the better of Magesi 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marumo Gallants as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marumo Gallants had 56% of the ball to Magesi's 44%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 1.15 to 0.07.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Magesi led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Marumo Gallants and 2.00 for Magesi.

What was the final score of Marumo Gallants vs Magesi?

Marumo Gallants 3-1 Magesi in the South Afrika - Premier League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marumo Gallants vs Magesi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marumo Gallants win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Marumo Gallants 43%, draw 29%, Magesi 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marumo Gallants) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marumo Gallants) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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