Nasarawa United 1-0 Lobi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.51
Over 2.5
51%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
62%
-14.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
38%
+14.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.6pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.63/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.30/1.97
+12% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -38%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nasarawa United
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Lobi Stars
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
16.01.2022 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 2-1 HT 1-0 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
21.07.2021 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 3-2 HT 3-2 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United NIJ
07.03.2021 Nasarawa United Nasarawa United 1-0 HT 0-0 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nasarawa United
1-0
AWAY Lobi Stars
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nasarawa United vs Lobi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nasarawa United squeezed past Lobi Stars 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nasarawa United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nasarawa United had 37% of the ball to Lobi Stars's 63%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nasarawa United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nasarawa United and 1.33 for Lobi Stars.

What was the final score of Nasarawa United vs Lobi Stars?

Nasarawa United 1-0 Lobi Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nasarawa United vs Lobi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nasarawa United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nasarawa United 51%, draw 25%, Lobi Stars 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nasarawa United) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nasarawa United) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
7 Dec 2024
19:30 Sunshine Stars vs Shooting Stars Analysis →