Nakhon Pathom 2-1 Chiangrai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.0pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.7pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.10/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.22
-41% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
29.5 Crosses 11.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Pathom
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Chiangrai United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.68 xG 0.76
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
296 Passes 301
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
11.05.2024 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 0-0 HT 0-0 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Pathom
2-1
AWAY Chiangrai United
0.96 xG 1.12
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
178 Passes 309
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangrai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Pathom edged past Chiangrai United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 22% / 37% — and on the day Nakhon Pathom made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nakhon Pathom had 39% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 61%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.96 to 1.12.

What was the final score of Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangrai United?

Nakhon Pathom 2-1 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Pathom vs Chiangrai United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Pathom win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Pathom 41%, draw 22%, Chiangrai United 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nakhon Pathom) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nakhon Pathom) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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