Kampala City 0-1 Express — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.67
Over 2.5
34%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
55%
-8.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.7pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kampala City EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Express EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.16/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.42
-25% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kampala City
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Express
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.03.2022 Express Express 2-2 HT 1-1 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
22.12.2021 Kampala City Kampala City 0-0 HT 0-0 Express Express UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kampala City
0-1
AWAY Express
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kampala City vs Express
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Express edged past Kampala City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kampala City at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Kampala City had 57% of the ball to Express's 43%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kampala City and 1.00 for Express.

What was the final score of Kampala City vs Express?

Kampala City 0-1 Express in the Uganda - Premier League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kampala City vs Express?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 46%, draw 30%, Express 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kampala City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kampala City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
7 Dec 2024
16:00 Bright Stars vs Vipers Analysis →