07/12/2024
·
16:05
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Al Nasar vs Nizwa Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
23%
Draw
23%
23%
Away Win
16%
56%
Under 2.5
54%
44%
Over 2.5
46%
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
53%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Nasar v Nizwa — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Nasar
EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY
Nizwa
EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+25% /
+25%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+15%
/
+38%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
323 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
300 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Nasar vs Nizwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Nasar ran out comfortable winners over Nizwa 3-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nasar as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Al Nasar vs Nizwa?
Al Nasar 3-0 Nizwa in the Oman - Sultan Cup on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Nasar vs Nizwa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasar win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Nasar 54%, draw 23%, Nizwa 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasar), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Nasar)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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