Navalcarnero 3-1 RSD Alcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY RSD Alcala EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.60/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/2.01
+13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -40%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Navalcarnero
3-1
AWAY RSD Alcala
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Navalcarnero vs RSD Alcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Navalcarnero beat RSD Alcala 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Navalcarnero as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Navalcarnero had 48% of the ball to RSD Alcala's 52%, shots finished 21-9.

What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs RSD Alcala?

Navalcarnero 3-1 RSD Alcala in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs RSD Alcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 47%, draw 23%, RSD Alcala 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Navalcarnero) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Navalcarnero) ✗ Under 2.5
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