Napoli U20 3-1 Fiorentina U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
54%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.1pp
54%
Away Win
50%
+4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli U20 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 55%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.03/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.28
-28% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
228 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
POST-MATCH Napoli U20 vs Fiorentina U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli U20 saw off Fiorentina U20 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina U20 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Napoli U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Napoli U20 3-1 Fiorentina U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Napoli U20 25%, draw 21%, Fiorentina U20 54%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✗ Under 2.5
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