Fiorentina (K) 1-0 Ternana (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
72%
-7.2pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.9pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.5pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.55/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.86
+19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 72%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.8
20.9 Crosses 8.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina (K)
1-0
AWAY Ternana (K)
1.21 xG 1.14
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 5
385 Passes 250
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 10
34 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina (K) vs Ternana (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) nicked a narrow win over Ternana (K) 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fiorentina (K) as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fiorentina (K) had 60% of the ball to Ternana (K)'s 40%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.21 to 1.14.

What was the final score of Fiorentina (K) vs Ternana (K)?

Fiorentina (K) 1-0 Ternana (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina (K) vs Ternana (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina (K) 65%, draw 20%, Ternana (K) 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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