KAA Gent II 1-3 Lokeren-Temse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.41
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.25
6+ Goals
7%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 28% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KAA Gent II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokeren-Temse EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.55/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.46
-28% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
302 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 81%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
16.1 Crosses 19.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KAA Gent II
1-3
AWAY Lokeren-Temse
2.49 xG 1.53
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
393 Passes 299
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KAA Gent II vs Lokeren-Temse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokeren-Temse beat KAA Gent II 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Lokeren-Temse found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KAA Gent II had 55% of the ball to Lokeren-Temse's 45%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 2.49 to 1.53 — on chances, KAA Gent II could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of KAA Gent II vs Lokeren-Temse?

KAA Gent II 1-3 Lokeren-Temse in the Belgium - 1st Division on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KAA Gent II vs Lokeren-Temse?

Before kick-off our model rated a KAA Gent II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split KAA Gent II 38%, draw 28%, Lokeren-Temse 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KAA Gent II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KAA Gent II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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