Auxerre 3-1 Metz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 7 Dec 2025

Auxerre
3 - 1 HT 2 - 1
Metz
📅07/12/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Auxerre vs Metz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.78
Over
47%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.0
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
21%
3.76
6+
5%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.77
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
17%
4.63
X/2
10%
7.5
X/X
17%
4.61
2/1
3%
25.5
2/2
13%
5.79
2/X
5%
14.55
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Auxerre v Metz — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Auxerre The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Metz The Market 29%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.29 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.14
1.02 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.65
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Auxerre vs Metz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auxerre
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Metz
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.73 xG 0.34
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
220 Passes 462
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.04.2019 Auxerre Auxerre 0-0 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR2
05.11.2018 Metz Metz 0-1 HT 0-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
13.07.2018 Metz Metz 0-0 HT 0-0 Auxerre Auxerre HAZ
14.07.2017 Metz Metz 1-4 HT 1-2 Auxerre Auxerre HAZ
08.04.2016 Auxerre Auxerre 4-0 HT 1-0 Metz Metz FR2
21.11.2015 Metz Metz 0-1 HT 0-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR2

Auxerre 3-1 Metz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auxerre
3 - 1
AWAY Metz
1.94 xG 0.57
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
285 Passes 486
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
21 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Auxerre vs Metz
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Auxerre got the better of Metz 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Auxerre as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.

The match data tells the story: Metz saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.94 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auxerre had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Auxerre against 0.17 for Metz.

Auxerre vs Metz Result & Final Score

Auxerre 3 - 1 Metz in the France - Ligue 1 on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Auxerre vs Metz Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Auxerre win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 48%, draw 27%, Metz 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auxerre), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auxerre) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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