Al Mabarrah 2-2 Al Nejmeh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.91
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
62%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
2%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
14%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
62%
Away Win
64%
-2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mabarrah EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -30%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
213 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Mabarrah vs Al Nejmeh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mabarrah and Al Nejmeh shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Nejmeh at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Al Mabarrah vs Al Nejmeh?

Al Mabarrah 2-2 Al Nejmeh in the Lebanon - Premier League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mabarrah vs Al Nejmeh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nejmeh win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Mabarrah 13%, draw 25%, Al Nejmeh 62%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Nejmeh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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