CDS Tampico Madero 1-0 Irapuato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Irapuato EU Bookmakers 29%
+16% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.39/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.46
-7% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CDS Tampico Madero
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Irapuato
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.11.2025 Irapuato Irapuato 0-0 HT 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
31.08.2025 Irapuato Irapuato 1-1 HT 0-1 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CDS Tampico Madero
1-0
AWAY Irapuato
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CDS Tampico Madero vs Irapuato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CDS Tampico Madero squeezed past Irapuato 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CDS Tampico Madero as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, CDS Tampico Madero had 53% of the ball to Irapuato's 47%, shots finished 18-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CDS Tampico Madero and 0.50 for Irapuato.

What was the final score of CDS Tampico Madero vs Irapuato?

CDS Tampico Madero 1-0 Irapuato in the Mexico - Primera A on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CDS Tampico Madero vs Irapuato?

Before kick-off our model rated a CDS Tampico Madero win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CDS Tampico Madero 49%, draw 28%, Irapuato 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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