GMG Kastamonuspor 2-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -15%
2.53/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.48
+71% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.11.2022 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 4-2 HT 2-0 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-K
27.01.2021 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-1 HT 1-1 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-K
21.09.2020 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor T2L-K
POST-MATCH GMG Kastamonuspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GMG Kastamonuspor squeezed past Karacabey Belediye Spor 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had GMG Kastamonuspor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Karacabey Belediye Spor led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for GMG Kastamonuspor and 2.00 for Karacabey Belediye Spor.

What was the final score of GMG Kastamonuspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

GMG Kastamonuspor 2-1 Karacabey Belediye Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GMG Kastamonuspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split GMG Kastamonuspor 45%, draw 24%, Karacabey Belediye Spor 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✓ BTTS Yes
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