Doxa vs Pafos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Doxa 1-0 Pafos — Actual Match Statistics
Doxa came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Pafos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our model won't enjoy this one — Pafos at 63% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The market had leaned harder still (1.31, ~76%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, Pafos saw more of the ball, 64% to 36%, shots finished 3-9.
Doxa vs Pafos Result & Final Score
Doxa 1 - 0 Pafos in the Cyprus - First Division on 08/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Doxa vs Pafos Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Pafos win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Doxa 19%, draw 18%, Pafos 63%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.