Doxa 1-0 Paphos FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Cyprus Rum Kesimi - 1st Division, 8 Jan 2024

📅08/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
46%
4-5
26%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Doxa win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
61%
Home Win
69%
-7.8pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.6pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doxa The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Paphos FC The Market 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
498 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doxa
1-0
AWAY Paphos FC
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Doxa vs Paphos FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doxa edged past Paphos FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Doxa as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Doxa had 36% of the ball to Paphos FC's 64%, shots finished 3-9.

What was the final score of Doxa vs Paphos FC?

Doxa 1-0 Paphos FC in the Cyprus Rum Kesimi - 1st Division on 08/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doxa vs Paphos FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doxa win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Doxa 61%, draw 20%, Paphos FC 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doxa), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Doxa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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