Al Najma 0-1 Al-Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 8 Jan 2024

📅08/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.95
Over 2.5
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Ain EU Bookmakers 30%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
0.68/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.30
-50% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Al-Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Ain nicked a narrow win over Al Najma 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Najma at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al-Ain?

Al Najma 0-1 Al-Ain in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 08/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Al-Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 45%, draw 30%, Al-Ain 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Najma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Najma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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