OFI 1-1 Lamia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 8 Jan 2024

OFI
1-1 HT 1-1
Lamia
📅08/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

OFI vs Lamia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.41
6+ Goals
13%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 30% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.57
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
10%
12.5
X/1
13%
4.48
X/2 EV+ ✗
14%
8.14
X/X
13%
4.32
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
14%
6.1
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · X/2 at 8.14 — our 14% vs market 8.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.3pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

OFI v Lamia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamia EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +5%
1.31/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.01
-21% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +26%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
24.6 Crosses 14.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

OFI vs Lamia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lamia
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.25 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
338 Passes 240
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Lamia Lamia 2-2 HT 0-1 OFI OFI YUN
08.04.2023 OFI OFI 4-1 HT 2-1 Lamia Lamia YUN
13.02.2023 Lamia Lamia 1-4 HT 0-2 OFI OFI YUN
24.10.2022 OFI OFI 0-0 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
02.04.2022 Lamia Lamia 1-2 HT 0-1 OFI OFI YUN
29.01.2022 Lamia Lamia 2-1 HT 0-1 OFI OFI YUN

OFI 1-1 Lamia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
1-1
AWAY Lamia
2.16 xG 0.79
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
515 Passes 185
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
42 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH OFI vs Lamia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI and Lamia shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, OFI had 70% of the ball to Lamia's 30%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 2.16 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, OFI had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for OFI and 1.17 for Lamia.

What was the final score of OFI vs Lamia?

OFI 1-1 Lamia in the Greece - Super League on 08/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Lamia?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split OFI 40%, draw 28%, Lamia 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (OFI), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OFI) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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