Tenerife II 3-2 Atlético Paso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 8 Jan 2025

📅08/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.74
Over
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No Pick
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
63%
-15.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+10.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.2pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife II EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 18%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -19%
1.67/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.55
+0% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife II
3-2
AWAY Atlético Paso
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tenerife II vs Atlético Paso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife II edged past Atlético Paso 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tenerife II as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tenerife II had 59% of the ball to Atlético Paso's 41%, shots finished 17-7.

What was the final score of Tenerife II vs Atlético Paso?

Tenerife II 3-2 Atlético Paso in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 08/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife II vs Atlético Paso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tenerife II 47%, draw 27%, Atlético Paso 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tenerife II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tenerife II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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