Yacoub El Mansour 1-1 KAC Kenitra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 8 Jan 2025

📅08/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
25%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Yacoub El Mansour win — 46%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.5pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.3pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yacoub El Mansour EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY KAC Kenitra EU Bookmakers 24%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.99/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.49
+55% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Yacoub El Mansour vs KAC Kenitra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yacoub El Mansour and KAC Kenitra shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Yacoub El Mansour at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Yacoub El Mansour vs KAC Kenitra?

Yacoub El Mansour 1-1 KAC Kenitra in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 08/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yacoub El Mansour vs KAC Kenitra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yacoub El Mansour win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Yacoub El Mansour 46%, draw 34%, KAC Kenitra 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Yacoub El Mansour), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yacoub El Mansour) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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