Thai Port FC 2-1 Lamphun Warrior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 8 Jan 2025

📅08/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-7.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.75/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.48
+11% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +49%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
22.7 Crosses 15.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thai Port FC
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 1.45
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
261 Passes 257
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
30.03.2024 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 2-2 HT 0-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
14.08.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thai Port FC
2-1
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
3.27 xG 0.68
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 2
385 Passes 178
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Thai Port FC vs Lamphun Warrior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thai Port FC nicked a narrow win over Lamphun Warrior 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Thai Port FC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Thai Port FC had 66% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 34%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 3.27 to 0.68 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Thai Port FC's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Thai Port FC and 1.00 for Lamphun Warrior.

What was the final score of Thai Port FC vs Lamphun Warrior?

Thai Port FC 2-1 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 08/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thai Port FC vs Lamphun Warrior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Thai Port FC 55%, draw 24%, Lamphun Warrior 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thai Port FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →