Avustralya U23 2-1 Tayland U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 8 Jan 2026

📅08/01/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
71%
-6.4pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.6pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.4pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avustralya U23 EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Tayland U23 EU Bookmakers 14%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.94/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.48
-80% / +140% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
13.3 Crosses 8.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avustralya U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tayland U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.98 xG 0.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
244 Passes 302
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2020 Avustralya U23 Avustralya U23 2-1 HT 1-1 Tayland U23 Tayland U23 AFCU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avustralya U23
2-1
AWAY Tayland U23
2.55 xG 0.62
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
396 Passes 238
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avustralya U23 vs Tayland U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avustralya U23 squeezed past Tayland U23 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Avustralya U23 as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Avustralya U23 had 60% of the ball to Tayland U23's 40%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.55 to 0.62 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Avustralya U23's control.

What was the final score of Avustralya U23 vs Tayland U23?

Avustralya U23 2-1 Tayland U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 08/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avustralya U23 vs Tayland U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avustralya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Avustralya U23 65%, draw 21%, Tayland U23 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avustralya U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avustralya U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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