Al Mosul 0-2 Erbil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 8 Jan 2026

Al Mosul
0-2 HT 0-1
Erbil
📅08/01/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al Mosul vs Erbil Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.1pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Mosul v Erbil — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mosul EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbil EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Mosul vs Erbil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbil saw off Al Mosul 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Erbil as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Al Mosul vs Erbil?

Al Mosul 0-2 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 08/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mosul vs Erbil?

Before kick-off our model rated an Erbil win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Mosul 28%, draw 30%, Erbil 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erbil), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Erbil) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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