Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-2 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 8 Jan 2026

Lusitania FC Lourosa
2-2 HT 0-1
Leixoes
📅08/01/2026 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Leixoes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.27
6+ Goals
9%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.2pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lusitania FC Lourosa v Leixoes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
1.61/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.44
-7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
23.6 Crosses 18.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2

Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-2 Leixoes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
2-2
AWAY Leixoes
1.66 xG 1.26
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 9
105 Passes 138
51% Pass Accuracy 57%
17 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Leixoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania FC Lourosa and Leixoes couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lusitania FC Lourosa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 48% of the ball to Leixoes's 52%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.66 to 1.26.

What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Leixoes?

Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-2 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 08/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Leixoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 42%, draw 23%, Leixoes 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) ✗ Under 2.5
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