İA Akranes 5-2 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 8 Feb 2024

İA Akranes
5-2 HT 2-0
Afturelding
📅08/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Iceland - League Cup – 2024

İA Akranes vs Afturelding Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.94
Over 2.5
62%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.31
No
51%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.6pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
22%
+16.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
78%
-16.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
72%
-23.3pp
51%
BTTS No
28%
+23.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İA Akranes v Afturelding — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 28%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.44/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.43
+2% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

İA Akranes vs Afturelding Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Afturelding
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.07.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 2-5 HT 0-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL1
22.05.2023 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-1 HT 0-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
11.03.2020 Afturelding Afturelding 1-2 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK

İA Akranes 5-2 Afturelding — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
5-2
AWAY Afturelding
43% Ball Possession 57%
21 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İA Akranes swept aside Afturelding 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İA Akranes as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, İA Akranes had 43% of the ball to Afturelding's 57%, shots finished 21-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, İA Akranes had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for İA Akranes and 1.33 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Afturelding?

İA Akranes 5-2 Afturelding in the Iceland - League Cup on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated a İA Akranes win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 52%, draw 22%, Afturelding 26%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İA Akranes), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İA Akranes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZLK More Iceland - League Cup
8 Feb 2024
22:15 KA Akureyri vs Dalvik / Reynir Analysis →