Bahia 5-0 Itabuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Baino 1, 8 Feb 2024

Bahia
5-0 HT 1-0
Itabuna
📅08/02/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Baino 1 – 2024

Bahia vs Itabuna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
No
62%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bahia v Itabuna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahia EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Itabuna EU Bookmakers 24%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.35/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/1.68
+62% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Bahia vs Itabuna Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahia
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Itabuna
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 6
The Meetings
18.03.2023 Bahia Bahia 4-1 HT 1-0 Itabuna Itabuna BRB1
11.03.2023 Itabuna Itabuna 1-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BRB1
26.02.2023 Itabuna Itabuna 4-0 HT 3-0 Bahia Bahia BRB1

Bahia 5-0 Itabuna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahia
5-0
AWAY Itabuna
63% Ball Possession 37%
32 Total Shots 2
17 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Bahia vs Itabuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahia cruised past Itabuna 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bahia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Bahia had 63% of the ball to Itabuna's 37%, shots finished 32-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Itabuna led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bahia and 2.00 for Itabuna.

What was the final score of Bahia vs Itabuna?

Bahia 5-0 Itabuna in the Brazil - Baino 1 on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahia vs Itabuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bahia 49%, draw 31%, Itabuna 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bahia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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