Estrela Do Norte vs Rio Branco ES Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estrela Do Norte v Rio Branco ES — Team-Based Signals
Estrela Do Norte vs Rio Branco ES Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Estrela Do Norte 0-1 Rio Branco ES — Actual Match Statistics
Rio Branco ES edged past Estrela Do Norte 1-0 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Estrela Do Norte at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (69%) came in.
On the day, Estrela Do Norte had 48% of the ball to Rio Branco ES's 52%, shots finished 18-14.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rio Branco ES led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estrela Do Norte and 1.00 for Rio Branco ES.
What was the final score of Estrela Do Norte vs Rio Branco ES?
Estrela Do Norte 0-1 Rio Branco ES in the Brazil - Capixaba on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estrela Do Norte vs Rio Branco ES?
Before kick-off our model rated a Estrela Do Norte win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Estrela Do Norte 56%, draw 16%, Rio Branco ES 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Estrela Do Norte) went the other way.