Santos 1-0 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A1, 8 Feb 2024

📅08/02/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
34%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.0pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.8pp
35%
Away Win
50%
-14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 54%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
0.98/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.37
+3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -12%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 83%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
14.6 Crosses 19.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Corinthians
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
320 Passes 374
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.10.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
22.06.2023 Santos Santos 0-2 HT 0-2 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
26.02.2023 Santos Santos 2-2 HT 1-1 Corinthians Corinthians BREPAU
23.10.2022 Santos Santos 0-1 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
14.07.2022 Santos Santos 1-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BRK
26.06.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 0-0 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
1-0
AWAY Corinthians
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
289 Passes 312
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Santos vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos nicked a narrow win over Corinthians 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Santos made the difference. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Santos had 47% of the ball to Corinthians's 53%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santos and 1.00 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Santos vs Corinthians?

Santos 1-0 Corinthians in the Brazil - Paulista A1 on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Santos 33%, draw 33%, Corinthians 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Corinthians), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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