Juventude 3-1 Avenida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Gaucho 1, 8 Feb 2024

📅08/02/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
40%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
39%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.9pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.9pp
40%
Away Win
52%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Avenida The Market 56%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -63% / -63%
1.55/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+90% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Avenida
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2023 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 1-0 Avenida Avenida BRG1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
3-1
AWAY Avenida
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Avenida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude beat Avenida 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Juventude found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Juventude had 40% of the ball to Avenida's 60%, shots finished 14-13.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Avenida?

Juventude 3-1 Avenida in the Brazil - Gaucho 1 on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Avenida?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avenida win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Juventude 29%, draw 31%, Avenida 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avenida) ✗ Under 2.5
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